Say “Yes” to More Taxes: Say “Yes” to Junk Science

Say “Yes” to Junk Science

“The arrogance of global warming activists and their fellow travellers in politics is something I know well from the past. They wish to suppress truth, control the market, and dictate policy; and I, who have spent most of my time living under communism, feel obliged to warn against it.”—Dr. Václav Klaus

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“asylum-seekers” “carbon pollution” 4 Corners a carbon dioxide tax AAP ABC Adelaide Now Adeliade Now AGW Alena Composta Alstom American politics Andrew Darby Andrew Demetriou Andrew Wilkie Ann McElhinney ATIA Australian Government Australian Greens avicide Bob Brown Bridget Johnson carbon dioxide Cate Blanchett Catherine Hockley censorship Christian Today Australia Christine Milne Christmas Island Clare Martin Clayton Hinds climate change Congregatio de Propaganda Fide David Gardner David Paris defamation deviation dodgy polls Economic Freedom extortion Frank Lowy freedom is slavery gaming reform Gemma Jones GetUp golden eagle Great Barrier Reef green jobs halal heresy hypocrisy ignore Climategate II indoctrination international Climate Science Coalition Joanne Nova John Connor John Dodd Julia Gillard Kate Osborne et al. Koch Family lie of 97% consensus lies Mark Latham Mark Riley Michael Caton Michelle Fields Michelle Grattan Migration Act 1958 National Press Club New Kerala Not Evil Just Wrong orthodoxy Ove Hoegh-Guldberg Oversight and Government Reform Pascal’s Wager piety PJ Media polls put your money where your mouth is refugees rich fatheads who say they ought to pay more tax but won’t Sarah Hanson-Young say “yes” to higher taxes Say Yes Australia schools sharia law Simon Benson Sky News steam suicide supporting an incompetent government whatever it does Sydney Morning Herald The Age The Climate Institute The Daily Caller The Daily Mail The Daily Telegraph the Duke of Windsor The Greens the logical thing to do The Lowy Institute the Tizona Group Thomas Fink Tom Arup Tom Harris Tony Abbott topical verse tortured metaphors tropes United Nations Vote for Her for She’s a Woman wedge-tailed eagle wind-turbines

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Say “Yes” to Big Oil
Say “Yes” to Crazy Eyes
Say “Yes” to the Jedi Mindtrick
Say “Yes” to Junk Science
Say “Yes” to Safe Wind-Turbines

The Sydney Morning Herald has a poll: “Do you believe that man’s activities are affecting the world’s climate?” The available answers are only “Yes” or “No”. Is the poll deliberately stupid?

Would you support a tax on carbon dioxide?

If you believe that there should be a tax on carbon dioxide so urgently, why don’t you voluntarily pay more tax now?

Anthropogenic Global Warming: a crippled conjecture
Just as intelligent design is a threshold question between non-science and conjectures, anthropogenic global warming (AGW) is a threshold question between conjectures and hypotheses. AGW is a centuries-old conjecture elevated to an established belief by a little clique of quacks who proclaim themselves the Consensus on Climate, guardians of the vault of exclusive knowledge. Does this sound familiar? Is the Consensus patterned after the Council of Trent? As a matter of science, as opposed to a matter of belief, the AGW conjecture is gathering more contradictory evidence than supporting. The layman can test it and understand its failings by applying just the few principles outlined [earlier in the article].
AGW fails the test because it is proclaimed by a consensus. Science places no value on such a vote. A unanimous opinion, much less a consensus, is insufficient. Science advances one scientist at a time, and we honor their names. It advances one model at a time. When the article gets around to saying “most scientists believe…,” it’s time to go back to the comics section. Science relies instead on models that make factual predictions that are or might be validated.
AGW fails on the first order scientific principles outlined [earlier] because it does not fit all the data. The consensus relies on models initialized after the start of the Industrial era, which then try to trace out a future climate. Science demands that a climate model reproduce the climate data first. These models don’t fit the first-, second-, or third-order events that characterize the history of Earth’s climate. They don’t reproduce the Ice Ages, the Glacial epochs, or even the rather recent Little Ice Age. The models don’t even have characteristics similar to these profound events, much less have the timing right. Since the start of the Industrial era, Earth has been warming in recovery from these three events. The consensus initializes its models to be in equilibrium, not warming. [...]
Anthropogenic Global Warming is a crippled conjecture, doomed just by these principles of science never to advance to a hypothesis. Its fate would be sealed by a minimally scientifically literate public.
—Jeff Glassman, “Conjecture, Hypothesis, Theory, Law: the Basis of Rational Argument”, in The Crossfit Journal 64 (December, 2007).